$POLY Catalyst Posts
July 03, 2026Single-day social intelligence recap and verified catalyst posts · ← Back to $POLY Profile · Market Rankings
💬 Curated Viral Posts & Community Evidence
66 source posts analyzed· 2026-07-03T19:41:01+00:00Whitney Webb has completely exposed Polymarket. And of course it was funded by Israel. Literally Netanyahu’s family. And it’s connected to the worst people on earth. Don’t take their bribes.
· 2026-07-03T20:52:17.049000+00:00Crypto-based Prediction Market Polymarket Allegedly Paid Influencers to Stage Fake Wins
· 2026-07-03T11:09:00+00:00Users state the goal: build a site that tracks Iran-related Polymarket markets and breaking movements. Bubble Code routes it to a Polymarket Agent SOP, connects live market data, sets monitoring keywords, and builds Iran Pulse: a working dashboard for probabilities, volume,
· 2026-07-03T11:37:54+00:00Right now created a new combo of two countries for 11$ on Polymarket My favorites like most people Argentina and Colombia They offer good odds for a win but not too low still profitable, combo brings 1.6x which is pretty decent Argentina overall I expect them in the final so
· 2026-07-03T18:55:17+00:00WORLD CUP POLYMARKET GIVEAWAY If Colombia wins today, someone who likes THIS POST wins $100! If we nail this combo, another person wins $200! See my PINNED post where we nailed ALL THREE picks last night! All giveaway winners will be announced Monday or Tuesday
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket betting slip showing a four-leg parlay on World Cup matches—Under 2.5 goals in Colombia vs Ghana, Under 2.5 goals in Argentina vs Cabo Verde, Argentina to win, and Colombia to win—with a $97.08 wager potentially returning $765.70 at 7.9x odds, which aligns with the post's giveaway prizes tied to Colombia winning and the combo hitting.
· 2026-07-03T15:45:16+00:00Polymarket chain is only a matter of time Launching its own chain with $POLY as the native gas token is the logical next step The platform processes 2M+ transactions daily on Polygon That’s $30K+ in gas fees every day Over the last 6 months, Polymarket has generated 50%+ of
AI visual analysis: A Gate.io research dashboard showing DEXs Volume of $119.86m (24h), Fees Paid of $2.07m (24h), and a Transaction Fee Market Share chart for Polygon dominated by Polymarket from Oct 2024 to Jul 2026.
· 2026-07-03T15:02:11+00:00$5,000 PNL achieved internally on @Polymarket . Not much but honest work.
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket profit/loss dashboard shows an all-time gain of $5,009.15, matching the post's celebration of hitting the $5,000 PNL milestone on the platform.
· 2026-07-03T03:47:22+00:00Polymarket has been exposed to yet another new exploit vulnerability. It's said that the current losses are around $31K. The scariest part this time is that it's not like ordinary trade anomalies, nor is it like the previous ghost fill issue. The problem this time is: Orders
· 2026-07-03T18:23:56+00:00I think Fas will comfortably beat Canada. I took this trade on @rain__trade . The platform is just starting to develop, and alongside Poly, I'm hanging out here a bit too. Fees are zero, I liked that. Also, you can create your own markets here, but opening one requires a certain
AI visual analysis: The image shows a betting interface on what appears to be a prediction market platform, with a market titled "Round of 16: Will Canada advance..." where the user is buying "No" shares for $100, which would yield $130.22 if Canada doesn't advance. This relates to the Turkish text discussing a bet placed on @rain__trade predicting Canada won't advance against France in a Round of 16 match, highlighting the platform's zero fees and ability for users to create their own markets.
· 2026-07-03T07:09:42+00:00my first World Cup combo cashed on @Polymarket Spain 3-0 Austria Portugal 2-1 Croatia Switzerland 2-0 Algeria $24 → $106 on top of that, i also sold my mexico shares for 200%+ profit good start to the day. morning everyone
AI visual analysis: Dark-themed sports betting combo parlay showing three picks (Portugal vs Croatia, Switzerland vs Algeria, Spain vs Austria) with a $24.43 cost returning a $106.76 payout for a 337% profit.
· 2026-07-03T13:42:12+00:00Polymarket chain and $POLY soon? They just reserved the testnet polymarket domain If Polymarket really launches its own chain, this could be one of the biggest updates in the platform’s history Especially if $POLY becomes the gas token - that would be a really bullish scenario
AI visual analysis: A tweet from Josh (@devjoshstevens), VP of Engineering DeFi at Polymarket, highlighting that Polymarket needs "more block space, cheaper gas and much smaller block times so settlement is instant," fueling speculation about a potential Polymarket chain launch and $POLY token.
· 2026-07-03T01:19:17+00:00Woah woah the best WC game so far… Happy that my goat continues his journey! Big win on Polymarket today! SIUU
AI visual analysis: A meme collage comparing cartoon characters (from The Simpsons and other animations) to real soccer players, including Cristiano Ronaldo in Portugal jerseys #17 and #7.
· 2026-07-03T22:24:47+00:00FABLE 5 IS RUNNING @Polymarket SESSIONS WITHOUT YOU IN THE LOOP — for two years the model only moved when you typed the next query Fable 5 + agentic trading flips that strategy pick, market read, re-run on a schedule — clip shows a 5-minute up/down Polymarket setup not
· 2026-07-03T17:00:39+00:00Vozinha apparently discovered polymarket > $235k position > 1.6m shares of NO on argentina winning > one bet ever made, account 2 days old saves 7 shots against Spain and suddenly thinks he's unbeatable against Messi too?? who else fading argentina today?
AI visual analysis: The image shows a Polymarket profile for user "myzbsq" (joined July 2026) displaying a single $235.3K position of 1,623,064.9 "No" shares on "Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?" at 15¢ average, currently down -$7,730.66 (-3.18%). The screenshot directly supports the post's mocking of Vozinha's bold bet against Argentina based on one good game against Spain, highlighting how a brand-new, single-prediction account is fading the World Cup favorites.
· 2026-07-03T20:21:31+00:00hundreds of prediction market terminals still haven't found one that checks every box: 1. aggregates Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict - one place to compare 2. <0.1% added fees 3. No VPN, US or Europe 4. set and easily manage multiple limit orders 5. STOP-LOSS 6.
· 2026-07-03T01:54:50+00:00never doubt Portugal not a huge win in terms of size but profit is profit and i’m farming the generational Polymarket airdrop VAMOS
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket combo bet slip showing two winning picks—Portugal to advance vs. Croatia and Spain -1.5 vs. Austria—dated Jul 3, 2026, with a $26.91 cost yielding a $68.41 payout and $41.50 profit (154.23%), visually confirming the poster's celebration of Portugal advancing and their small but profitable Polymarket haul while farming the airdrop.
· 2026-07-03T11:01:32+00:00Will the $POLY token finally drop once the world cup ends, because the timing is lining up scary well, polymarket just told cnbc it crossed 1 billion in annualized revenue, six weeks after opening its us app to the public Us daily volume grew fourfold between mid may and june 20
· 2026-07-03T18:53:20+00:00every ronaldo fans and their mom waiting for argentina to lose today. take a chance and go to kairos to use polymarket and gamble your life savings. 1,000 usd to win 26,000. you are dared.
AI visual analysis: The image shows a sports betting interface on what appears to be the Kairos platform, displaying a World Cup match at 11:00 PM between Argentina and Cape Verde. The order book shows a 1.9 projected goal line with odds movements, and a "BUY 26,315.79" order for 1,000 shares. This aligns with the post's reference to betting on Argentina using Polymarket via Kairos, where $1,000 could potentially win around $26,000 if Argentina loses to Cape Verde.
· 2026-07-03T22:25:12+00:00Officially earned over $3,500 from Polymarket LP’ing Assuming; > 1.5% airdrop for LP’ers > $8B marketcap > $40M in total LP rewards That’s $2-$4 in POLY per $1 of LP earned Meaning my LP earned could be worth $14,160 Don’t fade the alpha anon
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket promotional image featuring the Godfather (Don Vito Corleone) showcases a user's profile "Awestin.eth" with LP rewards of $3,541, ranked #823 out of 156,817 (top 0.5248%). The image visually reinforces the post's celebration of earning $3,500+ from Polymarket liquidity providing, using the iconic Don Corleone to add flair to the achievement and the bullish airdrop estimates ($2-$4 in POLY per $1 of LP earned, potentially worth $14,160).
· 2026-07-03T09:37:45+00:00Your bot shows a loss? It actually WON that trade. The money just never landed in your wallet and your stats can't tell the difference. Here's the silent trap quietly lying about your win rate: This one is wild and almost nobody knows to check for it. On Polymarket, a
AI visual analysis: Polymarket trading dashboard showing significant losses across past day (-$1,291.73), week (-$4,063.58), month (-$17,182.75), and year (-$30,081.79) with the overlay text 'HIDDEN TRAP' in white and red.
· 2026-07-03T15:18:02+00:00my predictions for today's matches on polymarket Australia vs Egypt btts Argentina vs Cape Verde Over 2.5 Columbia vs Ghana Columbia advance tough matches literally not sure about anything here but will risk them nevertheless....your take?
AI visual analysis: The image shows two Polymarket prediction cards: a 7:00 PM match between Australia (27¢) and Egypt (41¢) with a "Yes" position on 109 shares at 46¢, and an 11:00 PM match between Argentina (86¢) and Cape Verde (3.9¢) with a $10.58M volume. The odds reflect the user's predictions, heavily favoring Argentina over Cape Verde while showing a more uncertain matchup between Australia and Egypt.
· 2026-07-03T15:52:48+00:00Polymarket has already hit over 1.1 billion in volume in the first week of the World Cup, that's 150 million $ in volume per day. We're just at the start of the narrative + Hate that $POLY comes out PS: Stop the sports betting, team, you're gonna end up broke
AI visual analysis: A screenshot of the Polymarket prediction markets dashboard showing a trading volume chart of $38.8B over the last 3 years, sourced from Token Terminal.
· 2026-07-03T12:10:00+00:00Notable Token Launch Waves in Q3/2026 In terms of capital raised, standout projects include: Polymarket – 2.87 billion USD OpenSea – 425.1 million USD Arc – 222 million USD What's noteworthy is that these are all projects with strong brands, large user bases,
AI visual analysis: A CryptoDep Analytics table titled 'Upcoming Token Launches in Q3 2026' listing projects including Polymarket ($2.87B raised), OpenSea ($425.1M), ARC ($222M), Variational ($61.8M), GRVT ($33M), Base, INK, Aligned Layer, Reya Labs, predict.fun, Extended, Squid, Dreamcash, Pacifica, StandX, and Quip Network, dated 2nd July 2026.
· 2026-07-03T01:13:13+00:00First position, first win. Rookie luck :)) I just won on @Polymarket
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket bet slip from user 'padra' showing a won bet on 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?', cashed out at $8.60 from a $5.00 cost.
· 2026-07-03T19:35:55.307967+00:00Spotify demands Kalshi remove its logo after streaming market scandal Spotify has demanded that Kalshi remove its logo from the prediction market platform after manipulated streams influenced the settlement of a Spotify-based betting market. Summary Spotify has
· 2026-07-03T01:25:32+00:00Profits taken successfully C Ronaldo and Portugal did saving my lambo money off my Polymarket predictions
AI visual analysis: A screenshot showing two prediction market bets: 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?' with a profit of +$8.35, and 'Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals' with a profit of +$10.40.
· 2026-07-03T05:31:21+00:00First week in Q3 ! > made 2figs > served 1.5k customers affordable X Sub. > Beg-FI snz ended > won on poly > gave 2 mutuals 3$ not to give up > got a 1wk gig There was hope this Q3 after all *~* Make progress and enjoy your weekend
AI visual analysis: An anime-style illustration of a girl with short dark hair and a sailor-style uniform standing against a deep blue twilight sky.
· 2026-07-03T13:13:38+00:00Another day, another win from @Polymarket . Thanks to Switzerland
AI visual analysis: A prediction market interface showing a wager on "Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?" with a redeemed payout of +$18.37.
· 2026-07-03T14:14:30+00:00Polymarket trader earned $1,087,018 He joined Polymarket yesterday and has already made 6 predictions during this time. All related to WC 2026. Here are his best deals: > Spread: Spain (-1.5) - $774,432.65 —> $1,490,190.54 > Spread: United States (-1.5) - $369,066.98 —>
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket prediction profile for 'WhatARobbery' shows a profit of $1,087,018.32 with winning positions on Spread: Spain, Spread: United States, and Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02.
· 2026-07-03T15:17:55+00:00Polymarket is getting closer to fixing Ghost Fills " testnet.polymarket.com" subdomain 1st appeared in logs on Jul 2 When Ghost Fills reports reached a critical mass It seems @Polymarket has really got down to work on this Mb they’re setting the groundwork for $POLY chain?
AI visual analysis: A CRT.sh Identity Search results page showing domain registration records for polymarket.com, with a red arrow pointing to a record showing 'tastest.polymarket.com' associated with CSE Ortrade Trust Services.
· 2026-07-03T14:43:29+00:00a lot of people that are “farming” polymarket and other prediction markets will end up with a crippling gambling addiction, debts, and convince themselves it was all "for the airdrop." stay safu
AI visual analysis: A 'Know the Work Rules' comic contrasting 'Appropriate' behavior on Polymarket (complimenting a coworker) with 'Inappropriate' behavior on sportybet (calling HR).
· 2026-07-03T12:39:56+00:00Today's combo on @Polymarket Egypt Argentina Colombia Backing these picks today. Let's see how it plays out. $POLY
AI visual analysis: A list of FIFA World Cup matchups with country flags and names: Australia vs Egypt, Argentina vs Cabo Verde, and Colombia vs Ghana, alongside the Polymarket logo.
· 2026-07-03T07:17:59+00:00明天的比赛，在 @Polymarket 上组了个Combo: - 澳大利亚2:0埃及 - 平局之王佛得角战平阿根廷 - 戛纳赢哥伦比亚 200倍，1000刀变20万刀，干不干？
AI visual analysis: A sports betting app showing a 'Combo 3 picks' parlay with Ghana to win against Colombia, a draw in Argentina vs Cabo Verde, and Egypt -1.5 against Australia, offering a 200x payout on $1.
· 2026-07-03T09:42:17+00:00Today Big match who win? Drop coment box Predict @Polymarket #poly #polymarket $poly
AI visual analysis: Football Cup mobile app interface dated July 4, 2026, displaying Round of 32 matches including Australia vs Egypt (12:00 AM) and Argentina vs Cabo Verde (04:00 AM) with odds shown.
· 2026-07-03T06:08:36+00:00GM Everyone Yesterday I Made a Easy Combo On @Polymarket & Got a 3x Profit Thanks To Portugal , Spain & Switzerland $POLY Things
AI visual analysis: A screenshot of a prediction market interface titled 'Combo 3 picks' featuring football matches (Spain vs Austria, Portugal vs Croatia, Switzerland vs Algeria) with a cost of $5.35 and payout of $9.39, decorated with floral and lantern graphics.
· 2026-07-03T15:32:25+00:00Did you even realize what just happened? Polymarket's marketing has officially gone out of control They literally sent people to the top of a massive skyscraper antenna just to fly a giant blue flag They are treating this World Cup season like their own personal playground
· 2026-07-03T17:25:46.907000+00:00Spotify catches users manipulating song charts for cash Spotify removed more than 500,000 artificial streams from a chart-topping song after suspicious prediction market bets raised concerns that traders had manipulated the data used to settle the
· 2026-07-03T21:56:08.871955+00:00Standard Chartered wins MiCA passport as EU approves 57 firms Standard Chartered has secured a MiCA passport as the European Securities and Markets Authority has added 57 newly authorized crypto firms to its register following the end of the EU’s transi
· 2026-07-03T21:56:08.871967+00:00ESMA warns Polymarket over EU rules that could trigger retail ban Europe’s securities regulator has warned that prediction market contracts offered in the European Union could already fall under existing financial rules, potentially triggering a long-standi
· 2026-07-03T11:06:10+00:00Locked in on @Polymarket Comfortable to take risks for $POLY
AI visual analysis: A confident man labeled "Me" stands on the wing of a small plane (registration 538H, marked "Warrior II") floating on the ocean, while text at the top reads "BRO: Polymarket is risky," humorously illustrating the poster's bold, risk-taking attitude toward @Polymarket ($POLY).
· 2026-07-03T09:03:02+00:00There is one number in this post that explains the entire strategy behind this account I am not going to point to it Profile: [ polymarket.com/profile/0x20d2 …] Under two cents a share on Ethereum moving one direction inside a five minute window That position paid out $1,268 on a $30
AI visual analysis: A cryptocurrency prediction market interface from Polymarket showing various 'Up or Down' bets on Ethereum, XRP, Bitcoin, and Solana with prices and percentage gains highlighted in red.
· 2026-07-03T11:25:51+00:00Argentina vs Cape Verde | World 2026 My take: this looks simple on paper, but these games still need to be taken seriously. Result on @Polymarket is Argentina 2-0 Cape Verde Argentina are clearly ahead in quality and experience. They control possession easily, create
AI visual analysis: Promotional graphic for Polymarket featuring an Argentina vs. Cape Verde World Cup match, branded with 'Crypto_Coop' username.
· 2026-07-03T13:05:30+00:00my first World Cup combo cashed on @Polymarket Portugal vs Croatia - over 1.5 goals - portugal to advance - over 8.5 corners 29.47 → 72.23 today I put together another combo with a 5x payout I'll share it a bit later on top of the combo, I also made money yesterday
AI visual analysis: A sports betting combo slip showing 3 picks for Portugal vs Croatia (Over 1.5 goals, Portugal to advance, Over 8.5 corners), dated Jul 3, 2026, with a cost of $29.47, profit of $42.76, and payout of $72.23.
· 2026-07-03T02:21:07+00:00are some days that I don't post about @Polymarket but sometimes I remember to myself that I'm still good to use it liquidity providing + maker rebate always the best way to made money please let the World Cup last forever I don't even care about $POLY airdrop with these
AI visual analysis: A trading app activity log showing various transactions including a $18.95 maker rebate, selling 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup' for +$278.00, holdings yield, and a -$2.80 buy on Argentina being the top goalscorer.
· 2026-07-03T09:15:55.456134+00:00How Will New SEC Crypto ETF Guidelines Impact Future ETF Approvals? What Is the SEC’s New Crypto ETF Framework? The SEC just made its biggest move yet on the crypto ETF front. On June 30, 2026, the agency issued Release No. 33-11426 — a formal request for pub
· 2026-07-03T17:25:46.906041+00:00South Korean Firms Question OUSD’s Claimed Alliance Partner List Several major South Korean companies have denied formally joining the Open USD (OUSD) stablecoin consortium after being listed as founding members, raising fresh questions about the alliance’
· 2026-07-03T12:13:16+00:00Today's match argentina vs cabo verbe Polymarket odds looks like 11% free money Can we see a hat-trick today? Today's bet for messi let's go
AI visual analysis: Polymarket sports betting screen for the Argentina vs Cabo Verde World Cup match at 3:30 AM on July 4, showing prediction percentages: Argentina 86%, Draw 11%, Cabo Verde 3%, along with corner, free kick, and attacking stats.
· 2026-07-03T17:05:42+00:00Day 27 of posting these projects until their token/airdrop finally arrives. @base — $BASE @Polymarket — $POLY @opensea — $SEA @inkonchain — $INK I've been following all four ecosystems for a long time, and the community is still waiting. The big question is not
AI visual analysis: A vibrant digital graphic displaying four glowing circular icons (a sailboat, an angular symbol, a circle with a line, and a stylized 'S') arranged around a central light burst against a dark background.
· 2026-07-03T05:42:29+00:002nd combo win on @Polymarket Portugal Switzerland Spain $9.77 → $43.57 (4.5x) Starting to understand combo markets a little better. Small wins, better decisions, and steady progress. Let's keep cooking. gPOLY
AI visual analysis: A Polymarket 3-pick combo betting slip showing picks for Portugal, Switzerland, and Spain to win, with a $9.77 cost to win $43.57 at 4.5x odds, shared by @ROSE.SUI.
· 2026-07-03T10:45:00+00:00这位英雄联盟电竞交易员，只用 10,000 美元 本金起步，就已经在 Polymarket 上创下 49,139 美元 的总收益 他的战绩非常扎实：25 笔 LOL 电竞预测命中 18 笔，整体胜率高达 72%，完全不是靠运气 交易主页： polymarket.com/@lileddy123?r= … 近期最亮眼的一单，来自 Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid
· 2026-07-03T05:19:25+00:00"Your life does not get better by chance, it gets better by choice and position." FIFA World Cup 2026: ^Knockouts are completely rewriting sports history,& the latest data from major decentralized prediction markets like #Polymarket and #Kalshi reveals an intense shakeup:
AI visual analysis: A street photograph of a person in a white astronaut suit holding a sign reading 'IF LIFE DIDN'T TEACH YOU A LESSON, A PRETTY GIRL WITH NICE EYES WILL' against a backdrop of light trails from passing vehicles and a graffiti-covered wall.
· 2026-07-03T21:00:19+00:00$INK - 2026 $BASE $POLY $SEA - 2027
· 2026-07-03T12:35:19+00:00我以为是 $poly
· 2026-07-03T13:01:12+00:00supporting the insight on Polymarket picks
· 2026-07-03T12:26:00.788785+00:00US dominates Polymarket political bets despite geoblock: Report US-based users are the biggest political bettors on Polymarket, despite the crypto-based prediction market’s efforts to restrict US citizens from using the decentralized platform, according t
· 2026-07-03T07:46:01.646115+00:00Polymarket’s U.S. ban fails to stop political betting: report U.S.-linked wallets appear to be the largest political trading group on Polymarket’s global platform, even though the platform lists the United States as a blocked country. Summary U.S.-linke
· 2026-07-03T12:26:00.788630+00:00Crypto News Today: Bitcoin Reclaims $61K as ETF Inflows Return and Clarity Act Gets Endorsement Crypto news today is finally positive for traders. Bitcoin price reclaimed $61,000 yesterday, bouncing from the recent lows near $58,000. Ethereum is back above $1,700 for the first time in o
· 2026-07-03T21:05:46.641200+00:00Spotify Orders Kalshi And Polymarket To Remove Its Branding Following Chart Manipulation Fake Streams, Real Money @Spotify has issued a formal directive to prediction market platforms Kalshi and @Polymarket, ordering both to remove its corporate branding and publicly confirm that
· 2026-07-03T15:45:57.643007+00:00Spotify Orders Kalshi And Polymarket To Remove Its Branding Following Chart Manipulation Fake Streams, Real Money @Spotify has issued a formal directive to prediction market platforms Kalshi and @Polymarket, ordering both to remove its corporate branding and publicly confirm that
· 2026-07-03T12:45:57.586658+00:00US Leads Polymarket Political Betting as Geoblock Fails to Halt Demand US users remain the most active force behind Polymarket’s political prediction markets, even after the platform moved to geoblock Americans from its global, decentralized service. New analysi
· 2026-07-03T23:15:50.215103+00:00WSJ Alleges Polymarket Paid Influencers to Fake Winning Bets The Wall Street Journal has published an investigation alleging that Polymarket, the blockchain-based prediction market, paid social media influencers to stage fake winning bets as part of a
· 2026-07-03T19:35:55.308030+00:00Spotify Orders Kalshi And Polymarket To Remove Its Branding Following Chart Manipulation Fake Streams, Real Money @Spotify has issued a formal directive to prediction market platforms Kalshi and @Polymarket, ordering both to remove its corporate branding and publicly confirm that
· 2026-07-03T17:25:46.907204+00:00Spotify asks Kalshi, Polymarket to remove logos amid settlement dispute Spotify has asked prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its brand logos from their interfaces, as a streaming-manipulation incident raises questions about how related pr
· 2026-07-03T12:45:57.587023+00:00Report Says U.S. Users Still Dominate Polymarket Political Betting After Ban U.S. users continue to dominate political betting activity on Polymarket despite the platform being restricted from serving American customers since 2022, according to recent reporting that r
· 2026-07-03T12:45:57.587452+00:00Polymarket Sees Just 20% Chance of Bitcoin Reaching $70K in July Polymarket gives Bitcoin a 20% chance of reaching $70K in July. Prediction market odds reflect cautious investor sentiment. Traders remain uncertain about Bitcoin’s near-term price outlook. P
· 2026-07-03T18:45:48.869401+00:00ESMA Warns Prediction Market Event Contracts May Breach EU Retail Ban Europe’s financial watchdog is warning that many prediction market “event contracts” may already be subject to existing binary options rules, regardless of how they are described or marketed.