$METAPLU
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Yarrow is a multi-agent simulation engine, starting from policy simulation. Ask a question โ get a calibrated probability backed by evidence and reasoning. Every forecast can then be evaluated against what actually happens. The Malaysia test below is one example of how the
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AI visual note: The image showcases Yarrow's transfer test results for Malaysia, demonstrating that their method achieved 14/15 correct forecasts with a Brier score of 0.071 and z-score of +8.8 (versus chance), even when applied to one they hadn't country-specific tuned. The graphic emphasizes how Yarrow's forecasting method is portable across countries without requiring localized recalibration.