$SAI
Fading QuicklySnapshot Window: 2026-08-05 11:40 UTC · ← Back to Crypto Overview
Social Momentum Summary
Total Engagement - Comments: 22, Retweets: 0, Likes: 18, Impressions: 139
Verbatim Community Citations & Social Evidence 1 source posts analyzed
Polymarket has hormuz "back to normal by aug 31" at 17c That contract doesn't resolve on a ceasefire It resolves on portwatch printing a 7-day average of 60+ transits Pre-crisis was 88 a day Right now it's 12, under escort We already ran this test Early july, truce holding,
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AI visual note: A Polymarket chart dated August 5, 2026, shows a 7-day moving average of 36 daily transits through the Strait of Hormuz, far below the 60-transit threshold needed for "pre-crisis" conditions, with the "returns to normal by Aug 31" contract trading at 17¢ (compared to 3.4¢ for Aug 15 and 38¢ for Sep 30), and the post highlights that under-escort traffic currently sits at just 12 transits versus the pre-crisis baseline of 88 per day.