$TRONALDVEX
StableSnapshot Window: 2026-07-05 18:20 UTC ยท โ Back to Crypto Overview
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If you rank traders by win rate or raw P&L, you'll systematically pick the worst ones to copy A "follow the smart money" idea I've been testing: can you rank traders by their public performance stats and just copy the top ones? I pulled a large sample of on-chain fill data to check. Short version - win rate and raw P&L are actively misleading as ranking metrics, and I'd like to sanity-check the method with this crowd. The failure mode: a trader can post a 95-98% win rate with basically zero edge by only ever taking positions that are already near-decided. On a market sitting at 98c you put up 98 to make 2 - you win almost every time, and the equity curve looks flawless. But the edge is ~nil, and it's unfollowable: you can't get filled at 98c at any real size, and you're risking 98 to make 2. On an orderbook, by the time the "top" trader takes that level, it's already gone.