# $POLYMARKET Catalyst Posts & Social Intelligence Recap — July 25, 2026 > **Asset:** $POLYMARKET > **Date:** 2026-07-25 (July 25, 2026) > **Canonical URL:** https://cryptitalk.com/tokens/polymarket/2026-07-25 > **Token Profile:** https://cryptitalk.com/tokens/polymarket.md > **Market Rankings:** https://cryptitalk.com/rankings.md --- ## Curated Viral Posts & Community Evidence ### Post #1 by @Polymarket > **Author:** Polymarket ([@Polymarket](https://x.com/Polymarket)) > **Metrics:** 61 likes · 4 retweets · 43 comments · 47.3K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T12:29:00+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2080993719260426457](https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2080993719260426457) > > "NEW POLYMARKET: Kimi K4 released by…?" ### Post #2 by @Polymarket > **Author:** Polymarket ([@Polymarket](https://x.com/Polymarket)) > **Metrics:** 112 likes · 8 retweets · 6 comments · 31.6K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T01:33:57+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2080828872724017569](https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2080828872724017569) > > "19% chance Infantino is out as FIFA president by the end of the year." ### Post #3 by @DextersSolab > **Author:** Dexter's Lab ([@DextersSolab](https://x.com/DextersSolab)) > **Metrics:** 48 likes · 5 retweets · 9 comments · 8.2K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T13:40:24+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/DextersSolab/status/2081011690301239619](https://x.com/DextersSolab/status/2081011690301239619) > **Video Content:** The video shows a screen recording of a Polymarket profile belonging to "skyman44," who has gained 31.1K views since joining in April 2026. The cursor navigates the profile, first hovering over the "1D" tab to reveal a Profit/Loss chart showing "$62,726.44 Past Day," before clicking to the "1M" tab, which updates the chart to show a massive monthly profit of "$302,505.11." Finally, the user scrolls down through the profile's "Closed" positions tab, revealing a long list of successful winning bets on various esports markets, including matches for Valorant, IEM Cologne, and Stalker Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs. > > "FOR COPY TRADERS: This guy makes $60k per day on CS GO. He's watching every live game and trading outcomes on Polymarket. Added him to my copy trading list yesterday. Result? +$1,560 while i was asleep. His wallet: [ polymarket.com/@skyman44?via= …] Copy trading guide below." ### Post #4 by @DextersSolab > **Author:** Dexter's Lab ([@DextersSolab](https://x.com/DextersSolab)) > **Metrics:** 58 likes · 5 retweets · 6 comments · 5.6K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T21:54:40+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/DextersSolab/status/2081136075930812615](https://x.com/DextersSolab/status/2081136075930812615) > **Video Content:** [video-unavailable: could not fetch or sample] > > "FOR COPY TRADERS This tennis coach knows more than anyone about trading. He joined Polymarket just 2 weeks ago. And made $100k profit in just 75 trades. His wallet: [ polymarket.com/@luminaarx?via …] I added him to my copy trading bot just 2 days ago PUBLICLY. Current PnL:" ### Post #5 by @0xSurferX > **Author:** Blockchain Surfer ([@0xSurferX](https://x.com/0xSurferX)) > **Metrics:** 31 likes · 2 retweets · 2 comments · 4.2K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T13:55:51+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/0xSurferX/status/2081015576017703272](https://x.com/0xSurferX/status/2081015576017703272) > **Video Content:** The video displays a static trading dashboard across all four frames, showing a "CORRELATION" panel warning that 2 positions fall under one synoptic system (US-NE ridge) with effective independent bets of 1.4 rather than 2, and a cluster capped at $2.00. The listed positions are US-NE ridge (2 pos, p 0.71), W-Europe trough (1 pos), and E-Asia (1 pos). Below this, an "EXECUTION LOG" scrolls upward in real-time, adding new entries like "Tokyo book thinned · depth $757," "calibration slice · Brier 0.172," and "quote update NYC · ask 0.36," while timestamped events referencing KNYC, ECMWF, and Singapore depth appear. Tickers and values such as "84°F at 14:00 · fair +0.01" and "Brier 0.177" update as the log progresses. > > "STOP RUNNING 4 EDGES AT ONCE ON POLYMARKET You're trying to run every weather edge at once. Model lag AND station bias AND behavioral AND calibration. That's exactly why none of them work for you. Here's why ONE edge beats four every time: I get the instinct. You learned" ### Post #6 by @Nervyesi > **Author:** Nervy ([@Nervyesi](https://x.com/Nervyesi)) > **Metrics:** 40 likes · 0 retweets · 19 comments · 2.7K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T19:53:46+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Nervyesi/status/2081105649774051500](https://x.com/Nervyesi/status/2081105649774051500) > **Visual Note:** A trading interface showing BTC-USD price at $64,361 with a line chart and options to 'Long BTC' or 'Short' with 20x leverage. > > "If you're farming @Polymarket , I'd pay more attention to Perps than anything else right now It's invite only, so most people don't even have access yet Low users = probably the best time to be active there On top of that, I personally think Polymarket values users who engage" ### Post #7 by @KCEX_Official > **Author:** KCEX ([@KCEX_Official](https://x.com/KCEX_Official)) > **Metrics:** 14 likes · 4 retweets · 0 comments · 2.4K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T18:30:00+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/KCEX_Official/status/2081084569319784661](https://x.com/KCEX_Official/status/2081084569319784661) > **Visual Note:** This infographic from KCEX titled "World Cup Boosted Prediction Markets" illustrates the surge in trading activity during the World Cup, showing daily average trading volumes in million USD for Kalshi ($580M to $1.39B, then cooling to $494.4M), Polymarket ($228M to $538M, then $180.9M), and predict.fun ($14.7M to $28M, then $13.2M), alongside a daily fee revenue table showing Kalshi at $12.13M, Polymarket at $2.86M, and predict.fun at $0.085M during the tournament, with notable declines (-9.30%, -40.50%, -36.10%) on July 22 after the final—directly reinforcing the post's claim that the World Cup delivered a real but temporary volume and revenue boost to prediction markets. > > "World Cup Delivered a Real Boost to Prediction Markets During the tournament, daily volumes jumped hard (from Odaily): • Kalshi: $580M → $1.39B • Polymarket: $228M → $538M • predict.fun: nearly doubled Fee revenue moved higher with the volume increase." ### Post #8 by @IBadirli21592 > **Author:** Medv ([@IBadirli21592](https://x.com/IBadirli21592)) > **Metrics:** 8 likes · 1 retweets · 4 comments · 1.9K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T06:58:24+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/IBadirli21592/status/2080910520845275364](https://x.com/IBadirli21592/status/2080910520845275364) > **Video Content:** [video-unavailable: could not fetch or sample] > > "He finishes his homework and then goes on to write code; the code earns him $20,000, and he doesn't even know it. He's 13 years old. This past summer vacation. One computer. He spent his holiday time writing a small script for trading on #Polymarket. After finishing it, he" ### Post #9 by @NeWry24 > **Author:** newry ([@NeWry24](https://x.com/NeWry24)) > **Metrics:** 21 likes · 2 retweets · 6 comments · 1.9K views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T19:28:23+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/NeWry24/status/2081099260750074306](https://x.com/NeWry24/status/2081099260750074306) > **Visual Note:** The image shows a smartphone displaying the Polymarket logo against a backdrop of the French flag overlaid with binary code, visually representing France's regulatory crackdown on the prediction market platform while its competitor Kalshi remains unaffected despite climbing traffic. > > "France has officially blocked Polymarket, but left its competitor Kalshi untouched Traffic from France kept climbing, hitting over 578k visits in June, and that became the point where regulators moved from warnings to a full nationwide block across all providers Kalshi," ### Post #10 by @Robiul70177 > **Author:** ROBIUL HASAN ([@Robiul70177](https://x.com/Robiul70177)) > **Metrics:** 56 likes · 3 retweets · 51 comments · 969 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T03:37:43+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Robiul70177/status/2080860017637335192](https://x.com/Robiul70177/status/2080860017637335192) > **Visual Note:** An anime character wearing a black beanie with 'R' on it holds a steaming coffee cup, standing on a balcony with cherry blossoms and a city skyline at sunset. > > "Good Morning Everyone Happy Saturday! Wishing you all a wonderful day filled with positivity and success. Day by day, I'm staying focused on @base , @Polymarket , and $Ansem . Have an amazing weekend!" ### Post #11 by @BriggsOnchain > **Author:** Briggs ([@BriggsOnchain](https://x.com/BriggsOnchain)) > **Metrics:** 61 likes · 0 retweets · 42 comments · 797 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T10:58:43+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/BriggsOnchain/status/2080970997696528853](https://x.com/BriggsOnchain/status/2080970997696528853) > **Visual Note:** A customer service chat screenshot where the user confirms 'yes I'm logged in' and the support agent explains that the deposit is completed on their end but not showing in the user's balance, stating they'll hand it to a human team for tracing, and a final message indicates Polymarket typically replies in under 10m. > > "no response from the team since 2 days now i really want to fund to begin my perps journey on @Polymarket but the team isn't responding i can't get my money back and I can't fund at this point (perps section) how tf do I move on from here" ### Post #12 by @blmario669 > **Author:** 黑色马里奥｜买美股上币安 ([@blmario669](https://x.com/blmario669)) > **Metrics:** 43 likes · 0 retweets · 46 comments · 782 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T03:32:07+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/blmario669/status/2080858607646908624](https://x.com/blmario669/status/2080858607646908624) > **Visual Note:** A Polymarket prediction page about 'NBA: 勒布朗·詹姆斯下一支球队' (LeBron James's next NBA team) showing odds with the Philadelphia 76ers at 47.3% leading, followed by Miami Heat, Atlanta Hawks, and Brooklyn Nets. > > "詹姆斯加盟 76 人，预测市场里谁一夜暴富，谁又亏得最惨？ 詹姆斯加盟 76 人这件事，打了不少球迷一个措手不及。 闲着没事，我大概复盘了一下 @Polymarket 「LeBron James Next Team」市场约 4413 万美元的交易和持仓数据，看看这场突如其来的转会，究竟让谁赚得盆满钵满，又让谁亏得最惨。" ### Post #13 by @thekasik > **Author:** thekasik ([@thekasik](https://x.com/thekasik)) > **Metrics:** 77 likes · 3 retweets · 39 comments · 770 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T08:16:41+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/thekasik/status/2080930223109861818](https://x.com/thekasik/status/2080930223109861818) > **Visual Note:** An esports betting promotion from Polymarket showing a 3-pick combo bet on CS:GO matches including TL vs G2 (G2), HOTU vs AST10 (Astralis), and NIP vs HERO (Over 2.5 maps), with a potential win of $56.01 on an $11 bet at 5.09x odds, set against a champion mascot celebrating with confetti. > > "Another day without many exciting football matches But that doesn't mean it'll be a boring day. We've got some great CS2 BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 qualifier matches ahead, and I've already put together my @Polymarket combo. NFA & DYOR Combo: HOTU vs Astralis - Astralis to" ### Post #14 by @polysuccubus > **Author:** PolySuccubus ([@polysuccubus](https://x.com/polysuccubus)) > **Metrics:** 30 likes · 0 retweets · 2 comments · 619 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T21:57:10+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/polysuccubus/status/2081136702685430200](https://x.com/polysuccubus/status/2081136702685430200) > **Visual Note:** A portrait-style image of a woman in a light-colored dress standing in front of a building, with low resolution. > > "How I imagine successful Polymarket traders spend their weekends. Monaco. Luxury Life." ### Post #15 by @santiroy_28 > **Author:** SR ([@santiroy_28](https://x.com/santiroy_28)) > **Metrics:** 33 likes · 1 retweets · 20 comments · 562 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T10:48:10+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/santiroy_28/status/2080968343591473467](https://x.com/santiroy_28/status/2080968343591473467) > **Visual Note:** A dark-themed dashboard showing market activity with a holdings yield of +$0.19 (3.25% APR) and two liquidity rewards of +$0.60 and +$134.45, all occurring 5h ago. > > "For the first time ever, I earned 3-digit LP rewards in a single day on @Polymarket Yesterday: . $135.05 LP Rewards . $0.19 Yield Running totals: . $3,551 earned from LP farming . Rank #894 / 160,329 (Top 0.55%) Months of consistency, testing markets, and staying disciplined" ### Post #16 by @papa_couch > **Author:** Couch ([@papa_couch](https://x.com/papa_couch)) > **Metrics:** 18 likes · 0 retweets · 1 comments · 282 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T18:36:04+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/papa_couch/status/2081086095039840474](https://x.com/papa_couch/status/2081086095039840474) > **Visual Note:** Academic paper titled 'Unravelling the Probabilistic Forest: Arbitrage in Prediction Markets' by Oriol Saguillo, Vahid Ghafouri, Lucianna Kiffer, and Guillermo Suarez-Tangil, analyzing approximately 40 million USD in profit from Polymarket arbitrage. > > "this actually surprised me 62% of "logically dependent" prediction market pairs generate ZERO arbitrage profit. researchers ran this on 86 million Polymarket order events. found 13 market pairs an LLM flagged as logically linked. only 5 of them ever paid out. total realized" ### Post #17 by @Ed12534479 > **Author:** Ed ([@Ed12534479](https://x.com/Ed12534479)) > **Metrics:** 35 likes · 0 retweets · 10 comments · 222 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T18:26:37+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Ed12534479/status/2081083716802105639](https://x.com/Ed12534479/status/2081083716802105639) > **Visual Note:** A Polymarket screenshot in Russian showing a UFC prediction market for Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov, with Magomed at 81% and Bogdan at 20%, $457.04K volume. > > "Made it right at the start Ankalaev vs Guskov. @Polymarket just added this line couldn’t find it earlier today. Maybe I missed it. Rooting for my guy Ankalaev Let’s go!" ### Post #18 by @cryptoxiaoxiang > **Author:** 加密小象 ([@cryptoxiaoxiang](https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang)) > **Metrics:** 1 likes · 0 retweets · 1 comments · 195 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T09:18:36+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang/status/2080945805255745659](https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang/status/2080945805255745659) > **Visual Note:** A dark-themed code documentation snippet displays the parameter 'oas' typed as 'integer' with the description 'Minimum order age in seconds'. > > "在 @Polymarket 上做市的注意了，要求又变严了 世界杯都在看球了，也没做lp。这两天打开机器人，但是发现奖励明显少了。 查了一下，很多订单都返回 scoring=false ，没有累计奖励。 折腾了半天，才发现现在CLOB市场信息字段里加了一个moas: Minimum order age in seconds (最小订单存活秒数)" ### Post #19 by @Valtair_adnan > **Author:** adanaan ([@Valtair_adnan](https://x.com/Valtair_adnan)) > **Metrics:** 15 likes · 0 retweets · 18 comments · 32 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T08:13:09+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/Valtair_adnan/status/2080929333388923245](https://x.com/Valtair_adnan/status/2080929333388923245) > **Visual Note:** A complex hand-drawn style infographic titled 'UNCERTAINTY-BASED FEES' for Polymarket, featuring a bell curve graph, mathematical formulas, and annotations explaining how prediction market taker fees scale with market uncertainty. > > "Most people think prediction markets just charge a flat trading fee like a regular exchange. But @Polymarket dynamic fee structure does something pretty wild that almost nobody talks about: it scales your fee directly with market uncertainty.Here’s the math behind it: fee" ### Post #20 by @oxvalox > **Author:** valox (❖,❖) ([@oxvalox](https://x.com/oxvalox)) > **Metrics:** 17 likes · 0 retweets · 19 comments · 29 views > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T08:07:59+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/oxvalox/status/2080928032332697774](https://x.com/oxvalox/status/2080928032332697774) > **Visual Note:** An infographic titled 'FROM PASSIVE GAMBLING TO ACTIVE INFORMATION FINANCE' contrasts passive betting with the Polymarket platform, showing a screenshot of a prediction market for 'Will ceasefire be announced in the Middle East in May?' with prices moving from 0.20 to 0.65. > > "The biggest misconception about @Polymarket is that it's just a crypto sportsbook where you buy 'YES' or 'NO' and wait for the event to end. That completely misses its single best feature: trading the probability curve in real time before resolution. In traditional betting," ### Post #21 by @cryptoxiaoxiang > **Author:** 加密小象 ([@cryptoxiaoxiang](https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang)) > **Metrics:** 0 likes · 0 retweets · 0 comments > **Posted:** 2026-07-25T19:18:36+00:00 > **Source Link:** [https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang/status/2081096800950505618](https://x.com/cryptoxiaoxiang/status/2081096800950505618) > > "Just wait for the team. I also got an issue that I wasn't able to withdraw fund from perps account. After a few days they fixed it for me." --- *Generated by Context Pilot Social Intelligence Engine.*